The internet world says this
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11-12-2015, 12:01 PM
RE: The internet world says this
(11-12-2015 11:26 AM)DLJ Wrote:  What did I miss?

The fact that Theorist is unable to phrase his question in such a way that anybody can figure out what he really intends to ask.

I'm guessing either English is a second language or something like Asperger's is making communication very difficult.

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11-12-2015, 02:24 PM
RE: The internet world says this
(10-12-2015 07:20 PM)Theorist Wrote:  
(10-12-2015 07:12 PM)Chas Wrote:  Why are you stuck on 5? The probability is 0.5 regardless of the number of coins.


How many values do you see here - NNNNN


I asked you to choose 1 of 5, I asked you your chance of heads, lets reveal these results for the above I have just flipped.


hhtth


0.5 really?

By knowing the actual outcome, you have changed the problem from simple probability to conditional probability.

You need to learn about probability because your understanding is incorrect and incomplete.

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11-12-2015, 02:26 PM
RE: The internet world says this
(10-12-2015 07:30 PM)Theorist Wrote:  
(10-12-2015 07:21 PM)Chas Wrote:  Your problem statement is unclear.

Do you mean one card from each of 52 decks?

However, it doesn't matter how many decks or how many cards from each deck, the

This internet forum is also struggling to understand something so simple. Thank you for remaining .

Yes 1 card from each of 52 decks. Consider what was agreed about the 5 coin toss results containing unknown quantities of heads or tails.

I can tell you the chance of your 52 random s contains exactly 4 aces is only 20.3% and a 1.6% chance there is no aces.

You are describing the distribution, not the probability. Really, read a book on probability.

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11-12-2015, 02:27 PM
RE: The internet world says this
(10-12-2015 07:33 PM)Theorist Wrote:  
(10-12-2015 07:30 PM)pablo Wrote:  The number of boxes doesn't matter. What's in them matters.

Who's question is this? I offer you a choice of 5, not a choice of 1/2.

Your question is nonsense. Go learn about probability.

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11-12-2015, 02:27 PM
RE: The internet world says this
(10-12-2015 07:34 PM)Theorist Wrote:  
(10-12-2015 07:30 PM)unfogged Wrote:  and if each box has an equal chance of containing a ball or a rock then no matter which box you pick the odds of getting a ball are 1/2

Each box has a 1/2 chance that all the boxes only contain balls.

That's not even wrong. Facepalm

Your statement is nonsense.

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11-12-2015, 02:30 PM
RE: The internet world says this
(10-12-2015 07:46 PM)Theorist Wrote:  
(10-12-2015 07:44 PM)pablo Wrote:  How is that anything like what you were originally asking?

I think really deep,

Take 5 coins, toss each coin and place the coin on a table or counter, result side up.

first post -
''They insist that if we were to then hide the 5 results and asked another party to pick one of the 5 results, that they would have a 1/2 chance of heads.''

And they would be correct.

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11-12-2015, 02:42 PM
RE: The internet world says this
(11-12-2015 02:27 PM)Chas Wrote:  
(10-12-2015 07:34 PM)Theorist Wrote:  Each box has a 1/2 chance that all the boxes only contain balls.

That's not even wrong. Facepalm

Your statement is nonsense.
Laugh out loadLaugh out load

You are completely right, this guy needs to progress to the point where he is just wrong, so far his claims are just nonsense.

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11-12-2015, 03:03 PM
RE: The internet world says this
(11-12-2015 11:07 AM)GirlyMan Wrote:  I can't believe this shit is still spewing here. This is a trivial middle school probability problem that Theorist.is incapable of grasping.

(11-12-2015 03:27 AM)Nishi Karano Kaze Wrote:  I agree with the op. The coins have been flipped so there is a result.that means the chance to pick the result of a new dice isn't 1/2 anymore. You'd have to know the result of the flips to know the chance of being right. If the choice was made before the coin flips the probability would be 1/2.

But let's say it turned out:

H T H H T. Then the probability of picking heads would be 3/2.

Dude you just said the probability of picking heads is 150%. Facepalm
Yeah I ment 3/5 clearly I have been incected with halves.

Sorry about that. I'll tale my spanking now please.
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11-12-2015, 05:02 PM
RE: The internet world says this
(11-12-2015 11:26 AM)DLJ Wrote:  
(11-12-2015 10:29 AM)Theorist Wrote:  1/2*(1/2)^4*5= 0.15625

The chance of 1/5 is 0.15625=15.6%

Am I right in thinking that this is the calculation for choosing heads (H) if the 5 coins had been flipped and landed:

No you are wrong, this is the calculation that shows the 5 results of coin tosses chance of containing 1 heads of 1 tails

HTTTT chance is 15.6%

THHHH chance is 15.6%
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11-12-2015, 05:05 PM
RE: The internet world says this
Why have you all avoided the maths?

52²=X,Y

Y is not equal to X

e.g

x12
x12
.YY

are you saying x is equal to Y?
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