The internet world says this
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11-12-2015, 09:38 PM
RE: The internet world says this
(12/13)^52 = 1.557% or about 1.6%
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11-12-2015, 09:39 PM
RE: The internet world says this
(11-12-2015 09:32 PM)Theorist Wrote:  
(11-12-2015 09:30 PM)GirlyMan Wrote:  Your hypothesis is garbage.

Is it my fault that you personally lack the intelligence to understand the Hypothesis and contribute in an adult manner?

Are you American by any chance.

You do not understand probability.

Go learn elementary probability. I suggest Khan Academy.

By the way, if you are using your understanding of probability to play poker, you're going to lose your shirt. Drinking Beverage

Skepticism is not a position; it is an approach to claims.
Science is not a subject, but a method.
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11-12-2015, 09:41 PM
RE: The internet world says this
(11-12-2015 09:34 PM)Theorist Wrote:  
(11-12-2015 09:32 PM)Fireball Wrote:  Go on, man, make your fortune! Don't brag about it, do it! Then come back and rub the money in our faces.

Make a fortune of a roulette type structure are you insane it is -EV.

He said nothing about roulette. Are you even paying attention? Consider

Skepticism is not a position; it is an approach to claims.
Science is not a subject, but a method.
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11-12-2015, 09:43 PM
RE: The internet world says this
(11-12-2015 09:39 PM)Chas Wrote:  
(11-12-2015 09:32 PM)Theorist Wrote:  Is it my fault that you personally lack the intelligence to understand the Hypothesis and contribute in an adult manner?

Are you American by any chance.

You do not understand probability.

Go learn elementary probability. I suggest Khan Academy.

By the way, if you are using your understanding of probability to play poker, you're going to lose your shirt. Drinking Beverage

I just lost my shirt. Wanna see a pic?

Where is moms or stark? Surely someone is going to bring out hammer soon?

I just wanted to let you know that I love you even though you aren't naked right now. Heart
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11-12-2015, 09:49 PM
RE: The internet world says this
I'm checking the sock drawer.


But as if to knock me down, reality came around
And without so much as a mere touch, cut me into little pieces

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11-12-2015, 09:55 PM
RE: The internet world says this
(11-12-2015 09:39 PM)Chas Wrote:  
(11-12-2015 09:32 PM)Theorist Wrote:  Is it my fault that you personally lack the intelligence to understand the Hypothesis and contribute in an adult manner?

Are you American by any chance.

You do not understand probability.

Go learn elementary probability. I suggest Khan Academy.

By the way, if you are using your understanding of probability to play poker, you're going to lose your shirt. Drinking Beverage

Prob(0 aces in new deck) = 0.01557
Prob(1 aces in new deck) = 0.06749
Prob(2 aces in new deck) = 0.14340
Prob(3 aces in new deck) = 0.19917
Prob(4 aces in new deck) = 0.20332
Prob(5 aces in new deck) = 0.16265

Prob(6 aces in new deck) = 0.10618
Prob(7 aces in new deck) = 0.05814
Prob(8 aces in new deck) = 0.02726
Prob(9 aces in new deck) = 0.01110
Prob(10 aces in new deck) = 0.00398

Prob(11 aces in new deck) = 1.266E-3
Prob(12 aces in new deck) = 3.605E-4
Prob(13 aces in new deck) = 9.243E-5
Prob(14 aces in new deck) = 2.146E-5
Prob(15 aces in new deck) = 4.530E-6

Prob(16 aces in new deck) = 8.729E-7
Prob(17 aces in new deck) = 1.540E-7
Prob(18 aces in new deck) = 2.496E-8
Prob(19 aces in new deck) = 3.722E-9
Prob(20 aces in new deck) = 5.118E-10

Prob(21 aces in new deck) = 6.499E-11
Prob(22 aces in new deck) = 7.631E-12
Prob(23 aces in new deck) = 8.295E-13
Prob(24 aces in new deck) = 8.353E-14
Prob(25 aces in new deck) = 7.796E-15

Prob(26 aces in new deck) = 6.746E-16
Prob(27 aces in new deck) = 5.414E-17
Prob(28 aces in new deck) = 4.028E-18
Prob(29 aces in new deck) = 2.778E-19
Prob(30 aces in new deck) = 1.775E-20

Prob(31 aces in new deck) = 1.050E-21
Prob(32 aces in new deck) = 5.740E-23
Prob(33 aces in new deck) = 2.899E-24
Prob(34 aces in new deck) = 1.350E-25
Prob(35 aces in new deck) = 5.786E-27

Prob(36 aces in new deck) = 2.277E-28
Prob(37 aces in new deck) = 8.205E-30
Prob(38 aces in new deck) = 2.699E-31
Prob(39 aces in new deck) = 8.074E-33
Prob(40 aces in new deck) = 2.187E-34

Prob(41 aces in new deck) = 5.333E-36
Prob(42 aces in new deck) = 1.164E-37
Prob(43 aces in new deck) = 2.256E-39
Prob(44 aces in new deck) = 3.845E-41
Prob(45 aces in new deck) = 5.697E-43

Prob(46 aces in new deck) = 7.224E-45
Prob(47 aces in new deck) = 7.685E-47
Prob(48 aces in new deck) = 6.671E-49
Prob(49 aces in new deck) = 4.538E-51
Prob(50 aces in new deck) = 2.269E-53

Prob(51 aces in new deck) = 7.415E-56
Prob(52 aces in new deck) = 1.188E-58


Do the maths,
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11-12-2015, 09:59 PM
RE: The internet world says this
(11-12-2015 09:41 PM)Chas Wrote:  
(11-12-2015 09:34 PM)Theorist Wrote:  Make a fortune of a roulette type structure are you insane it is -EV.

He said nothing about roulette. Are you even paying attention? Consider

Online poker uses a roulette structure by random deck
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11-12-2015, 10:04 PM
RE: The internet world says this
(11-12-2015 09:41 PM)Chas Wrote:  
(11-12-2015 09:34 PM)Theorist Wrote:  Make a fortune of a roulette type structure are you insane it is -EV.

He said nothing about roulette. Are you even paying attention? Consider

Not a riddle- what is thicker than a brick? At least he hasn't brought the "because Jeebus" card.

This boy reminds me of the Time Cube level of idiocy.

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Time_Cube
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11-12-2015, 10:08 PM
RE: The internet world says this
(11-12-2015 09:55 PM)Theorist Wrote:  
(11-12-2015 09:39 PM)Chas Wrote:  You do not understand probability.

Go learn elementary probability. I suggest Khan Academy.

By the way, if you are using your understanding of probability to play poker, you're going to lose your shirt. Drinking Beverage

Prob(0 aces in new deck) = 0.01557
Prob(1 aces in new deck) = 0.06749
Prob(2 aces in new deck) = 0.14340
Prob(3 aces in new deck) = 0.19917
Prob(4 aces in new deck) = 0.20332
Prob(5 aces in new deck) = 0.16265

Prob(6 aces in new deck) = 0.10618
Prob(7 aces in new deck) = 0.05814
Prob(8 aces in new deck) = 0.02726
Prob(9 aces in new deck) = 0.01110
Prob(10 aces in new deck) = 0.00398

Prob(11 aces in new deck) = 1.266E-3
Prob(12 aces in new deck) = 3.605E-4
Prob(13 aces in new deck) = 9.243E-5
Prob(14 aces in new deck) = 2.146E-5
Prob(15 aces in new deck) = 4.530E-6

Prob(16 aces in new deck) = 8.729E-7
Prob(17 aces in new deck) = 1.540E-7
Prob(18 aces in new deck) = 2.496E-8
Prob(19 aces in new deck) = 3.722E-9
Prob(20 aces in new deck) = 5.118E-10

Prob(21 aces in new deck) = 6.499E-11
Prob(22 aces in new deck) = 7.631E-12
Prob(23 aces in new deck) = 8.295E-13
Prob(24 aces in new deck) = 8.353E-14
Prob(25 aces in new deck) = 7.796E-15

Prob(26 aces in new deck) = 6.746E-16
Prob(27 aces in new deck) = 5.414E-17
Prob(28 aces in new deck) = 4.028E-18
Prob(29 aces in new deck) = 2.778E-19
Prob(30 aces in new deck) = 1.775E-20

Prob(31 aces in new deck) = 1.050E-21
Prob(32 aces in new deck) = 5.740E-23
Prob(33 aces in new deck) = 2.899E-24
Prob(34 aces in new deck) = 1.350E-25
Prob(35 aces in new deck) = 5.786E-27

Prob(36 aces in new deck) = 2.277E-28
Prob(37 aces in new deck) = 8.205E-30
Prob(38 aces in new deck) = 2.699E-31
Prob(39 aces in new deck) = 8.074E-33
Prob(40 aces in new deck) = 2.187E-34

Prob(41 aces in new deck) = 5.333E-36
Prob(42 aces in new deck) = 1.164E-37
Prob(43 aces in new deck) = 2.256E-39
Prob(44 aces in new deck) = 3.845E-41
Prob(45 aces in new deck) = 5.697E-43

Prob(46 aces in new deck) = 7.224E-45
Prob(47 aces in new deck) = 7.685E-47
Prob(48 aces in new deck) = 6.671E-49
Prob(49 aces in new deck) = 4.538E-51
Prob(50 aces in new deck) = 2.269E-53

Prob(51 aces in new deck) = 7.415E-56
Prob(52 aces in new deck) = 1.188E-58


Do the maths,

...finally produces some "math". I want the deck with 52 aces in it. Laugh out load Dude, you are fucked up like a soup sandwich.
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11-12-2015, 10:17 PM
RE: The internet world says this
(11-12-2015 10:08 PM)Fireball Wrote:  
(11-12-2015 09:55 PM)Theorist Wrote:  Prob(0 aces in new deck) = 0.01557
Prob(1 aces in new deck) = 0.06749
Prob(2 aces in new deck) = 0.14340
Prob(3 aces in new deck) = 0.19917
Prob(4 aces in new deck) = 0.20332
Prob(5 aces in new deck) = 0.16265

Prob(6 aces in new deck) = 0.10618
Prob(7 aces in new deck) = 0.05814
Prob(8 aces in new deck) = 0.02726
Prob(9 aces in new deck) = 0.01110
Prob(10 aces in new deck) = 0.00398

Prob(11 aces in new deck) = 1.266E-3
Prob(12 aces in new deck) = 3.605E-4
Prob(13 aces in new deck) = 9.243E-5
Prob(14 aces in new deck) = 2.146E-5
Prob(15 aces in new deck) = 4.530E-6

Prob(16 aces in new deck) = 8.729E-7
Prob(17 aces in new deck) = 1.540E-7
Prob(18 aces in new deck) = 2.496E-8
Prob(19 aces in new deck) = 3.722E-9
Prob(20 aces in new deck) = 5.118E-10

Prob(21 aces in new deck) = 6.499E-11
Prob(22 aces in new deck) = 7.631E-12
Prob(23 aces in new deck) = 8.295E-13
Prob(24 aces in new deck) = 8.353E-14
Prob(25 aces in new deck) = 7.796E-15

Prob(26 aces in new deck) = 6.746E-16
Prob(27 aces in new deck) = 5.414E-17
Prob(28 aces in new deck) = 4.028E-18
Prob(29 aces in new deck) = 2.778E-19
Prob(30 aces in new deck) = 1.775E-20

Prob(31 aces in new deck) = 1.050E-21
Prob(32 aces in new deck) = 5.740E-23
Prob(33 aces in new deck) = 2.899E-24
Prob(34 aces in new deck) = 1.350E-25
Prob(35 aces in new deck) = 5.786E-27

Prob(36 aces in new deck) = 2.277E-28
Prob(37 aces in new deck) = 8.205E-30
Prob(38 aces in new deck) = 2.699E-31
Prob(39 aces in new deck) = 8.074E-33
Prob(40 aces in new deck) = 2.187E-34

Prob(41 aces in new deck) = 5.333E-36
Prob(42 aces in new deck) = 1.164E-37
Prob(43 aces in new deck) = 2.256E-39
Prob(44 aces in new deck) = 3.845E-41
Prob(45 aces in new deck) = 5.697E-43

Prob(46 aces in new deck) = 7.224E-45
Prob(47 aces in new deck) = 7.685E-47
Prob(48 aces in new deck) = 6.671E-49
Prob(49 aces in new deck) = 4.538E-51
Prob(50 aces in new deck) = 2.269E-53

Prob(51 aces in new deck) = 7.415E-56
Prob(52 aces in new deck) = 1.188E-58


Do the maths,

...finally produces some "math". I want the deck with 52 aces in it. Laugh out load Dude, you are fucked up like a soup sandwich.

Just compare all that to a standard deck,


a standard deck

prob 0 aces = 0%
prob 1 ace =0%
prob 2 aces= 0%
prob 3 aces =0%
prob 4 aces = 100%
prob 5 aces = 0%

etc etc 0% the rest of the way
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