The internet world says this



10122015, 06:56 PM




RE: The internet world says this
(10122015 06:54 PM)unfogged Wrote:(10122015 06:44 PM)Theorist Wrote: You are being asked to pick one of 5 independent results. I have not said the 5 cards contain 1 heads or 1 tails, I did the maths that shows the maths of the chance the 5 results contain exactly one heads or exactly one tails. The results of the 5 are unknown to the picker, 

10122015, 07:00 PM




RE: The internet world says this
(10122015 05:34 PM)Theorist Wrote: They insist that if we were to then hide the 5 results and asked another party to pick one of the 5 results, that they would have a 1/2 chance of heads. Your original post mentioned one of the results. Five coins, five results. Each coin is independent, unlike a deck of cards which makes each draw different. For each coin, you're 50/50. If you mean the results of flipping all five, then 32 possible outcomes as Girly said (2^5, because H/T x H/T x H/T x H/T x H/T). You can't have 50/50 because you can't say for sure all are heads or all are tails. Now cut to the chase and show your math. You're acting like a 3yearold who keeps saying, "I got a secret but I ain't telling!" 

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10122015, 07:03 PM




RE: The internet world says this
(10122015 06:56 PM)Theorist Wrote:(10122015 06:54 PM)unfogged Wrote: Again, that wasn't your initial question. I quote *coins Go back and read what you posted. You did not ask what the odds were that there was exactly 1 heads or 1 tails, you asked what the odds were that any randomly selected coin flip was heads. Of the 32 possible arrangements of 5 flips, 5 have 1 head and 4 tails so I agree that the odds that there is only 1 head is 5/32. That doesn't change the fact that the odds of any single coin flip is 1/2. Atheism: it's not just for communists any more! America July 4 1776  November 8 2016 RIP 

10122015, 07:06 PM




RE: The internet world says this
(10122015 07:00 PM)Clockwork Wrote: You can't have 50/50 because you can't say for sure all are heads or all are tails. [/b] Ok , the maths would be to show exactly 1 heads or tails 1/2*(1/2)^4*5=0.15625 And you agree the chance of choosing a result is unknown. Ok, moving onto the proper scenario because you seem to understand the first part. Take 52 random cards , one from each deck of 52 decks. What is your chance of an ace choosing from the result? 

10122015, 07:08 PM




RE: The internet world says this
(10122015 07:03 PM)unfogged Wrote: Of the 32 possible arrangements of 5 flips, 5 have 1 head and 4 tails so I agree that the odds that there is only 1 head is 5/32. That doesn't change the fact that the odds of any single coin flip is 1/2. Thank you, the flip is before the results we are only using the results, So you agree the chance could be a range. 

10122015, 07:09 PM




RE: The internet world says this
(10122015 07:06 PM)Theorist Wrote:(10122015 07:00 PM)Clockwork Wrote: You can't have 50/50 because you can't say for sure all are heads or all are tails. [/b] How is this in any way the same as your original question? I've recently grown rudimentary legs and am now making the move from water to land. 

10122015, 07:09 PM




RE: The internet world says this
double post.
I've recently grown rudimentary legs and am now making the move from water to land. 

10122015, 07:09 PM
(This post was last modified: 10122015 07:14 PM by GirlyMan.)




RE: The internet world says this
(10122015 06:38 PM)Theorist Wrote:(10122015 06:36 PM)GirlyMan Wrote: But all heads is only one of 32 possible sequences. Odds are not determined after the fact. Sure. Just enumerate all 32 possibilities and count. The probability of exactly 1 head anywhere in 5 coin tosses is 5 in 32. The probability of exactly 2 heads anywhere in 5 coin tosses is 5 in 16. The probability of exactly 3 heads anywhere in 5 coin tosses is 5 in 16. The odds of exactly 4 heads anywhere in 5 coin tosses is 5 in 32. And the odds of 5 heads in 5 coin tosses is 1 in 32. And the odds of 0 heads in 5 coin tosses is also 1 in 32. There is but one truly serious philosophical problem.  Camus 

10122015, 07:10 PM




RE: The internet world says this
(10122015 06:52 PM)Theorist Wrote:(10122015 06:49 PM)Slowminded Wrote: There can't be 5 results bro. Try to rap your had around the fact that when you flip a coin there is only 2 possible outcomes. Heads or tails. Why would I post the results ? I flip the coins , you are guessing , you will be the "another party " as you put it in the OP. Now, if I ask you to guess what was the result on my , lets say third flip, what are the chances you gonna get it right. And I have to remind you that in the OP you specified Quote:asked another party to pick one of the 5 resultsYou do the math and come up with the answer. Come on, what are the odds of you guessing what I got on my third flip? . . . ................................ ......................................... . Eat at Joe's 

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10122015, 07:12 PM




RE: The internet world says this
(10122015 07:09 PM)pablo Wrote: How is this in any way the same as your original question? Its a random process, the results of the coin flips are random results, 52 random cards are 52 random results. It is identical in thought. 

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