Worrying About a Trump Victory? Don't.
Post Reply
 
Thread Rating:
  • 1 Votes - 5 Average
  • 1
  • 2
  • 3
  • 4
  • 5
28-04-2016, 05:22 PM (This post was last modified: 28-04-2016 05:26 PM by Lord Dark Helmet.)
RE: Worrying About a Trump Victory? Don't.
(28-04-2016 05:19 PM)GirlyMan Wrote:  
(28-04-2016 05:08 PM)Lord Dark Helmet Wrote:  Well we'll see what happens. Hillary leads in the polls for now but who knows what will happen after the nominees are known for sure and the Cruz voters calm down. Democratic strategist Dave Saunders said yesterday that he thinks Trump will beat Hillary like a baby seal, mostly because working class whites are jumping ship. He thinks at least some of the Sanders supporters will switch to Trump and the rest of them, the younger crowd, won't even show up to vote.

I am very curious how Nate Silver is gonna handle this general election. Dude is smart as all fuck. I wanna see how he accommodates Trump as a statistical anomaly or outlier.

I don't think Nate Silver can predict this election. He could take the easy route and say Hillary will win. But he's been way off with Trump from the beginning. In August he said Trump's chances were 2% and he was "doomed." Then he said his ceiling was 10% of the vote. Then he raised it to 20. He's said multiple times "Trump will not even be the nominee." But now says Trump is actually on a path to hit 1237.

"Evil will always triumph over good, because good is dumb." - Lord Dark Helmet
[Image: 25397spaceballs.gif]
Find all posts by this user
Like Post Quote this message in a reply
28-04-2016, 05:36 PM
RE: Worrying About a Trump Victory? Don't.
(28-04-2016 04:02 PM)Lord Dark Helmet Wrote:  Trump has said some brash things, but none were "racist."

Goddam dude, you got a strange definition of racism.

“What can be simpler or more accurately stated? The Mexican Government is forcing their most unwanted people into the United States. They are, in many cases, criminals, drug dealers, rapists, etc.”

“We’re going to keep the families together, but they have to go.”

There are so many more. I can't be bothered to dig them up. So I'm guessing your response is gonna be "It ain't racist if it's the truth."

#sigh
Find all posts by this user
Like Post Quote this message in a reply
[+] 2 users Like GirlyMan's post
28-04-2016, 05:42 PM
Worrying About a Trump Victory? Don't.
(28-04-2016 05:36 PM)GirlyMan Wrote:  Goddam dude, you got a strange definition of racism.

“What can be simpler or more accurately stated? The Mexican Government is forcing their most unwanted people into the United States. They are, in many cases, criminals, drug dealers, rapists, etc.”

“We’re going to keep the families together, but they have to go.”

There are so many more. I can't be bothered to dig them up. So I'm guessing your response is gonna be "It ain't racist if it's the truth."

What is your definition of racism? How is a race part of what Trump said? If they were white would you call it racist?
Find all posts by this user
Like Post Quote this message in a reply
28-04-2016, 05:47 PM
RE: Worrying About a Trump Victory? Don't.
(28-04-2016 05:36 PM)GirlyMan Wrote:  
(28-04-2016 04:02 PM)Lord Dark Helmet Wrote:  Trump has said some brash things, but none were "racist."

Goddam dude, you got a strange definition of racism.

“What can be simpler or more accurately stated? The Mexican Government is forcing their most unwanted people into the United States. They are, in many cases, criminals, drug dealers, rapists, etc.”

“We’re going to keep the families together, but they have to go.”

There are so many more. I can't be bothered to dig them up. So I'm guessing your response is gonna be "It ain't racist if it's the truth."

See my stats in an earlier post. Almost 15% of all criminal sentences are illegals, even though they are a small number of the population. Mexico isn't actually "sending" these criminals here, it was a figure of speech. He worded it badly. But what he said was true. It's not all good people crossing the southern border.

"Evil will always triumph over good, because good is dumb." - Lord Dark Helmet
[Image: 25397spaceballs.gif]
Find all posts by this user
Like Post Quote this message in a reply
28-04-2016, 05:58 PM
RE: Worrying About a Trump Victory? Don't.
(28-04-2016 05:47 PM)Lord Dark Helmet Wrote:  Mexico isn't actually "sending" these criminals here, it was a figure of speech. He worded it badly.

No, he didn't.

"For many years, Mexico’s leaders have been taking advantage of the United States by using illegal immigration to export the crime and poverty in their own country (as well as in other Latin American countries)."

The above is from Trump's own official platform.

"Owl," said Rabbit shortly, "you and I have brains. The others have fluff. If there is any thinking to be done in this Forest - and when I say thinking I mean thinking - you and I must do it."
- A. A. Milne, The House at Pooh Corner
Find all posts by this user
Like Post Quote this message in a reply
[+] 1 user Likes Unbeliever's post
28-04-2016, 06:00 PM
RE: Worrying About a Trump Victory? Don't.
And the statistics you constantly quote regarding immigrant crime rates are skewed at best.

"Owl," said Rabbit shortly, "you and I have brains. The others have fluff. If there is any thinking to be done in this Forest - and when I say thinking I mean thinking - you and I must do it."
- A. A. Milne, The House at Pooh Corner
Find all posts by this user
Like Post Quote this message in a reply
28-04-2016, 06:03 PM
RE: Worrying About a Trump Victory? Don't.
(28-04-2016 05:58 PM)Unbeliever Wrote:  
(28-04-2016 05:47 PM)Lord Dark Helmet Wrote:  Mexico isn't actually "sending" these criminals here, it was a figure of speech. He worded it badly.

No, he didn't.

"For many years, Mexico’s leaders have been taking advantage of the United States by using illegal immigration to export the crime and poverty in their own country (as well as in other Latin American countries)."

The above is from Trump's own official platform.
I'd never read that before. Maybe he's right? 15% of our crime is from illegals. Has to be some truth to it.

"Evil will always triumph over good, because good is dumb." - Lord Dark Helmet
[Image: 25397spaceballs.gif]
Find all posts by this user
Like Post Quote this message in a reply
28-04-2016, 06:13 PM
RE: Worrying About a Trump Victory? Don't.
(28-04-2016 05:22 PM)Lord Dark Helmet Wrote:  
(28-04-2016 05:19 PM)GirlyMan Wrote:  I am very curious how Nate Silver is gonna handle this general election. Dude is smart as all fuck. I wanna see how he accommodates Trump as a statistical anomaly or outlier.

I don't think Nate Silver can predict this election. He could take the easy route and say Hillary will win. But he's been way off with Trump from the beginning. In August he said Trump's chances were 2% and he was "doomed." Then he said his ceiling was 10% of the vote. Then he raised it to 20. He's said multiple times "Trump will not even be the nominee." But now says Trump is actually on a path to hit 1237.

I am very curious how Silver handles this apparent statistical aberration. World-renowned statistician reasoning is enlightening and worth consideration. You know who's opinions ain't worth dick? Somebody pretending to be a world renowned statistician when they barely have a basic elementary understanding of probability and statistics.

#sigh
Find all posts by this user
Like Post Quote this message in a reply
28-04-2016, 06:19 PM
RE: Worrying About a Trump Victory? Don't.
I don't hate him. I just don't trust him. I don't believe that he will respect the Constitution.
My husband hates him. My husband is Latino. You offend Latino and you will never be forgiven.
My daughter says that all Latino kids in her school and their parents hate Trump.
He offends women. He is bully. I don't like bullies.
Conservative like I am will never forgive Trump for the things he lied about Cruz.
I prefer socialist Sanders than Trump. Trump scares me. He is isolationist. I don't like it.
But because Sanders is not going to win I will vote for crooked Hillary.
I will be happy when Trump loses general election. Or I will be happy when all those nationalists and bullies(Trump supporters) realize that Trump lied to them. It will be no wall. It will be no deportation. IF he wins the election. But I doubt it.
I am ready for crooked Hillary 1016!!

English is my second language.
I AM DEPLORABLE AND IRREDEEMABLE
SHE PERSISTED WE RESISTED
Find all posts by this user
Like Post Quote this message in a reply
28-04-2016, 06:23 PM
RE: Worrying About a Trump Victory? Don't.
(28-04-2016 05:36 PM)GirlyMan Wrote:  
(28-04-2016 04:02 PM)Lord Dark Helmet Wrote:  Trump has said some brash things, but none were "racist."

Goddam dude, you got a strange definition of racism.

“What can be simpler or more accurately stated? The Mexican Government is forcing their most unwanted people into the United States. They are, in many cases, criminals, drug dealers, rapists, etc.”

“We’re going to keep the families together, but they have to go.”

There are so many more. I can't be bothered to dig them up. So I'm guessing your response is gonna be "It ain't racist if it's the truth."
Trump also said that in this country people speak English not Spanish.
That is so stupid. The more languages the better.

English is my second language.
I AM DEPLORABLE AND IRREDEEMABLE
SHE PERSISTED WE RESISTED
Find all posts by this user
Like Post Quote this message in a reply
Post Reply
Forum Jump: